In December 2013 Guinea saw
the first death from an outbreak of Ebola virus. This, still on going, Ebola
epidemic is now the largest in recorded history. I’ve therefore put together this
blog post that will tell you about the virus species and what can make it so deadly.
The first recorded
outbreaks of Ebola virus were in 1976 in Zaire and Sudan, with the name being
derived from the Ebola River in Zaire (now the Democratic Republic of Congo). These
outbreaks were caused by two different species of the Ebola virus family, with
the Zaire strain being more deadly. In Sudan, there were a total of 151 deaths
from 284 confirmed cases, whereas Zaire had 280 deaths from 318 cases.
The Ebola virus structure - false colouring of an electron microscope image |
Zaire is
still the most deadly of the five currently defined Ebola species. However, its
case fatality rate is often misconstrued in my opinion. There have been a total of 14 ‘outbreaks’ of Zaire Ebola virus with case fatality ranging from 44-100%.
But two of those ‘outbreaks’ have been of a single person, who died, giving two
100% case fatality ‘outbreaks.’ If you remove those two, the average case
fatality from all recorded Zaire Ebola virus outbreaks is 75%. It’s still very
high, but not the often-reported 90%.
With that said, Ebola
viruses are undoubtedly extremely deadly. For a point of comparison, the worst
influenza outbreak, 1918 Spanish Flu, had a case fatality rate of around 2.5%.
But what is it that can make Ebola virus deadly?
Like all other viruses,
Ebola virus must enter and infect cells. Different viruses have different cells
they infect. For example, influenza preferentially infects lung cells, while
HIV preferentially infects white blood cells. Ebola targets a lot of cells, but
it is thought the earliest to be infected are white blood cells. Similarly to
HIV, Ebola infection kills these cells that constitute our immune system.
However, while HIV takes years, Ebola can kill in a matter of weeks.
As Ebola viruses infect
cells of the immune system, our bodies try to fight back by releasing chemicals
known as cytokines. Cytokines attract immune cells to the sites of infection
and help to activate the immune response – they are essential to combating
infection. Cytokine release causes the general symptoms associated with viral
infections such as headaches, fever, nausea and inflammation. In addition to
infection triggering release of cytokines, cell death is also a major cause.
With Ebola killing cells and the immune response, there is a huge release of
cytokines.
While the cytokine
response is essential to fighting infection, it is a response balanced on a
knife-edge. Cytokines act through a positive feedback mechanism; infected cells
release cytokines to activate immune cells, these activated cells then release
more cytokines and so on. If this isn’t regulated, there can be an uncontrolled
release of cytokines throughout the body, known as a cytokine storm. Ebola
infection can cause this uncontrolled release of cytokines resulting in a
massively exaggerated response and extreme fever and vomiting, to name just two
symptoms.
So Ebola viruses can
cause cytokine storm, while also, somewhat paradoxically, decimating the immune
system. But it doesn’t stop there; Ebola can also damage and infect endothelial
cells that line the blood vessels through our bodies, producing holes in these
vessels and allowing fluids to escape. Combine this with the dilation of blood
vessels caused by the inflammatory response from cytokines and you have a
situation where Ebola virus causes huge fluid loss and drop in blood pressure
(potentially resulting in shock).
Leaky blood vessels, combined
with the cytokine-induced fever, give the symptoms Ebola is best known for, ‘haemorrhagic
fever’. The haemorrhaging causes massive blood blisters around the body and
release of blood from the gums and into the eyes (causing them to turn red).
This is just the striking exterior; there is also internal bleeding to
exacerbate the situation.
With all the fluids lost
due to leaking of blood vessels through the body, combined with further loss
from vomiting and diarrhoea, hydration becomes one of the biggest issues for
patients infected with Ebola. Indeed, rehydration therapy is one of the few
treatments available to patients with Ebola, but needs to be given early,
before the late stages of haemorrhaging and fever.
With all of these
different symptoms combined, hopefully it’s clear why Ebola virus can cause
such a deadly infection.
Ebola virus is spread
through close contact with bodily fluids from an infected person (or animal); hence the
vomiting and diarrhoea are highly advantageous to the virus. This tends to put
close family members and medical staff at the highest risk of contracting the
virus. However, there can also be sexual spread for weeks after a patient has
apparently recovered from infection.
The current West Africa
outbreak is suspected to have killed 826 people from 1440 cases (as of 4th August
2014 – this site is regularly updated). This gives the current outbreak of the
Zaire species of Ebola a case fatality rate of around 57%, much lower than the average
for this species. The reasons for why some outbreaks of the same Ebola species
are so deadly compared to others are unclear, but I’d speculate one major
factor is the work of health care personnel. Limiting spread by isolation of
patients, giving rapid rehydration therapy and tracking spread as much as
possible are unboundedly having a huge impact in controlling this outbreak. In
the past, outbreaks had occurred in areas of huge diplomatic unrest and poverty
making the necessary responses much harder. The current outbreak is in areas of
huge poverty, but the international response is undoubtedly having a major
impact on limiting deaths.
A health care worked in an isolation unit |
While Ebola virus is
unquestionably a dangerous and deadly virus, the need for close contact spread
would suggest to me that it will never really take off as a pandemic. I would
speculate that developed parts of the world would see nowhere near as much
death from the virus, even if an outbreak were to occur, because of being able
to limit spread with isolation measures and the speed with which this could be
done in richer parts of the world. Hopefully with the continued work of health
care professionals in West Africa, this current outbreak will soon be curtailed.
Amendment
Clearly my hope that the Ebola outbreak would "soon be curtailed" hasn't come to fruition. It is now a little over a year since the first death from this Ebola outbreak and the death toll has reached 8,414 (15th Jan 2015) from 21,261 cases (13,427 being laboratory confirmed). However, it has been reported today that the number of new cases may be declining. Hopefully this trend will continue and 2015 will see the end of this Ebola epidemic.
Amendment
Clearly my hope that the Ebola outbreak would "soon be curtailed" hasn't come to fruition. It is now a little over a year since the first death from this Ebola outbreak and the death toll has reached 8,414 (15th Jan 2015) from 21,261 cases (13,427 being laboratory confirmed). However, it has been reported today that the number of new cases may be declining. Hopefully this trend will continue and 2015 will see the end of this Ebola epidemic.